Published in 2008, “Disrupting Class: How Disruptive Innovation Will Change the Way the World Learns” predicted that the growth in computer-based delivery of education will accelerate swiftly until, by 2019, half of all high school classes will be taught over the Internet.

As quoted in:

Ash, Katie “Virtual Approaches Vary” (Technology Counts 2009). Education Week. 20 March 2009.

A response:

Are we on track? Are we likely to get there by 2019? (See Are We On Track? Part 2 for more on this.) How is this prediction similar or different from others being made today about personalized learning, virtual reality, and artificial intelligence? Indeed, what should we take from predictions of a technology-enabled future for education?

At the least, I think we should be very careful to take them at face value.